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by Jacob, D., Petersen, J., Eggert, B., Alias, A., Christensen, O. B., Bouwer, L. M., Braun, A., Colette, A., Déqué, M., Georgievski, G., Georgopoulou, E., Gobiet, A., Menut, L., Nikulin, G., Haensler, A., Hempelmann, N., Jones, C., Keuler, K., Kovats, S., Kröner, N., Kotlarski, S., Kriegsmann, A., Martin, E., van Meijgaard, E., Moseley, C., Pfeifer, S., Preuschmann, S., Radermacher, C., Radtke, K., Rechid, D., Rounsevell, M., Samuelsson, P., Somot, S., Soussana, J.-F., Teichmann, C., Valentini, R., Vautard, R., Weber, B. and Yiou, P.
Abstract:
A new high-resolution regional climate change ensemble has been established for Europe within the World Climate Research Program Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (EURO-CORDEX) initiative. The first set of simulations with a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km was completed for the new emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 with more simulations expected to follow. The aim of this paper is to present this data set to the different communities active in regional climate modelling, impact assessment and adaptation. The EURO-CORDEX ensemble results have been compared to the SRES A1B simulation results achieved within the ENSEMBLES project. The large-scale patterns of changes in mean temperature and precipitation are similar in all three scenarios, but they differ in regional details, which can partly be related to the higher resolution in EURO-CORDEX. The results strengthen those obtained in ENSEMBLES, but need further investigations. The analysis of impact indices shows that for RCP8.5, there is a substantially larger change projected for temperature-based indices than for RCP4.5. The difference is less pronounced for precipitation-based indices. Two effects of the increased resolution can be regarded as an added value of regional climate simulations. Regional climate model simulations provide higher daily precipitation intensities, which are completely missing in the global climate model simulations, and they provide a significantly different climate change of daily precipitation intensities resulting in a smoother shift from weak to moderate and high intensities.
Reference:
Jacob, D., Petersen, J., Eggert, B., Alias, A., Christensen, O. B., Bouwer, L. M., Braun, A., Colette, A., Déqué, M., Georgievski, G., Georgopoulou, E., Gobiet, A., Menut, L., Nikulin, G., Haensler, A., Hempelmann, N., Jones, C., Keuler, K., Kovats, S., Kröner, N., Kotlarski, S., Kriegsmann, A., Martin, E., van Meijgaard, E., Moseley, C., Pfeifer, S., Preuschmann, S., Radermacher, C., Radtke, K., Rechid, D., Rounsevell, M., Samuelsson, P., Somot, S., Soussana, J.-F., Teichmann, C., Valentini, R., Vautard, R., Weber, B. and Yiou, P., 2014: EURO-CORDEX: new high-resolution climate change projections for European impact researchRegional Environmental Change, 14, 563-578.
Bibtex Entry:
@Article{Jacob2014,
  Title                    = {EURO-CORDEX: new high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research},
  Author                   = {Jacob, D. and Petersen, J. and Eggert, B. and Alias, A. and Christensen, O. B. and Bouwer, L. M. and Braun, A. and Colette, A. and Déqué, M. and Georgievski, G. and Georgopoulou, E. and Gobiet, A. and Menut, L. and Nikulin, G. and Haensler, A. and Hempelmann, N. and Jones, C. and Keuler, K. and Kovats, S. and Kröner, N. and Kotlarski, S. and Kriegsmann, A. and Martin, E. and van Meijgaard, E. and Moseley, C. and Pfeifer, S. and Preuschmann, S. and Radermacher, C. and Radtke, K. and Rechid, D. and Rounsevell, M. and Samuelsson, P. and Somot, S. and Soussana, J.-F. and Teichmann, C. and Valentini, R. and Vautard, R. and Weber, B. and Yiou, P.},
  Journal                  = {Regional Environmental Change},
  Year                     = {2014},

  Month                    = {April},
  Number                   = {2},
  Pages                    = {563-578},
  Volume                   = {14},

  Abstract                 = {A new high-resolution regional climate change ensemble has been established for Europe within the World Climate Research Program Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (EURO-CORDEX) initiative. The first set of simulations with a horizontal resolution of 12.5 km was completed for the new emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 with more simulations expected to follow. The aim of this paper is to present this data set to the different communities active in regional climate modelling, impact assessment and adaptation. The EURO-CORDEX ensemble results have been compared to the SRES A1B simulation results achieved within the ENSEMBLES project. The large-scale patterns of changes in mean temperature and precipitation are similar in all three scenarios, but they differ in regional details, which can partly be related to the higher resolution in EURO-CORDEX. The results strengthen those obtained in ENSEMBLES, but need further investigations. The analysis of impact indices shows that for RCP8.5, there is a substantially larger change projected for temperature-based indices than for RCP4.5. The difference is less pronounced for precipitation-based indices. Two effects of the increased resolution can be regarded as an added value of regional climate simulations. Regional climate model simulations provide higher daily precipitation intensities, which are completely missing in the global climate model simulations, and they provide a significantly different climate change of daily precipitation intensities resulting in a smoother shift from weak to moderate and high intensities.},
  Copublication            = {39: 16 De, 10 Fr, 1 Denmark, 2 Nl, 1 Gr, 1 Austria, 3 Sweden, 2 UK, 2 Sw, 1 It},
  Doi                      = {10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2},
  ISSN                     = {1436-3798},
  Keywords                 = {Regional climate change; impact indices; EURO-CORDEX; heat wave; heavy precipitation; dry spells;},
  Language                 = {English},
  Owner                    = {hymexw},
  Publisher                = {Springer Berlin Heidelberg},
  Timestamp                = {2015.07.07},
  Url                      = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0499-2}
}