Home About HyMeX
Motivations
Science questions
Observation strategy
Modelling strategy
Target areas
Key documents
Organisation
International coordination
Working groups
Task teams
National contributions
Endorsements
Resources
Database
Data policy
Publications
Education and summer schools
Drifting balloons (BAMED)
SOP web page
Google maps data visualisation
Workshops Projects
ASICS-MED
MOBICLIMEX
MUSIC
IODA-MED
REMEMBER
FLOODSCALE
EXAEDRE
Offers Links Contacts
Science & Task teams
Science teams
Task teams
Implementation plan
Coordination
International Scientific Steering Committee (ISSC)
Executive Committee for Implementation and Science Coordination (EC-ISC)
Executive Committee - France (EC-Fr)
HyMeX France
HyMeX Italy
HyMeX Spain
Archive
by Mariani, S., Casaioli, M. and Malguzzi, P.
Abstract:
In this work, the performance of two versions of the Sistema Idro-Meteo-Mare (SIMM) forecasting system, aiming at predicting weather, waves and sea surge in the Mediterranean basin and, in particular, around the Italian coasts, are compared for two high-impact case studies corresponding to the Intense Operation Period (IOP) 16 and 18 of the first monitoring campaign of the HYdrological cycle in Mediterranean EXperiment (HyMeX). The first SIMM version tested – currently operational – is based on the meteorological hydrostatic BOlogna Limited Area Model (BOLAM) one-way nested over two domains, the Mediterranean-embedded Costal WAve Forecasting system (Mc-WAF), and the Shallow water HYdrodynamic Finite Element Model (SHYFEM). The second version tested is the one initially implemented for the HyMeX monitoring campaigns, which is composed by an optimised new configuration of BOLAM defined over a wider, higher-resolution domain, the nonhydrostatic convection permitting model MOLOCH, the Mc-WAF component, and SHYFEM. Both SIMM versions are initialised with data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS). The accumulated precipitation obtained by applying all the above meteorological model chains at the two case studies is compared with observations. In general, the precipitation forecast quality turns out to improve with increasing resolution, the best result being obtained with the MOLOCH model. Storm surge and tidal forecasts, obtained by forcing SHYFEM with the BOLAM and ECMWF IFS surface wind and atmospheric pressure fields, are compared with observations of tidal elevation measured at the ISPRA “Punta della Salute” tide-gauge, located in the Lagoon of Venice. Results indicate that, for the IOP18, short-term forecasts obtained with BOLAM outperform the ECMWF IFS one, while the opposite seems apparently true for longer-term predictions.
Reference:
Mariani, S., Casaioli, M. and Malguzzi, P., 2014: Towards a new BOLAM-MOLOCH suite for the SIMM forecasting system: implementation of an optimised configuration for the HyMeX Special Observation PeriodsNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Discussion, 2, 649-680. (Special Issue: 14th Plinius Conference and MEDEX Final Conference)
Bibtex Entry:
@Article{Mariani2014,
  Title                    = {Towards a new BOLAM-MOLOCH suite for the SIMM forecasting system: implementation of an optimised configuration for the HyMeX Special Observation Periods},
  Author                   = {Mariani, S. and Casaioli, M. and Malguzzi, P.},
  Journal                  = {Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Discussion},
  Year                     = {2014},
  Note                     = {Special Issue: 14th Plinius Conference and MEDEX Final Conference},
  Pages                    = {649-680},
  Volume                   = {2},

  Abstract                 = {In this work, the performance of two versions of the Sistema Idro-Meteo-Mare (SIMM) forecasting system, aiming at predicting weather, waves and sea surge in the Mediterranean basin and, in particular, around the Italian coasts, are compared for two high-impact case studies corresponding to the Intense Operation Period (IOP) 16 and 18 of the first monitoring campaign of the HYdrological cycle in Mediterranean EXperiment (HyMeX). The first SIMM version tested – currently operational – is based on the meteorological hydrostatic BOlogna Limited Area Model (BOLAM) one-way nested over two domains, the Mediterranean-embedded Costal WAve Forecasting system (Mc-WAF), and the Shallow water HYdrodynamic Finite Element Model (SHYFEM). The second version tested is the one initially implemented for the HyMeX monitoring campaigns, which is composed by an optimised new configuration of BOLAM defined over a wider, higher-resolution domain, the nonhydrostatic convection permitting model MOLOCH, the Mc-WAF component, and SHYFEM. Both SIMM versions are initialised with data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS).
The accumulated precipitation obtained by applying all the above meteorological model chains at the two case studies is compared with observations. In general, the precipitation forecast quality turns out to improve with increasing resolution, the best result being obtained with the MOLOCH model. Storm surge and tidal forecasts, obtained by forcing SHYFEM with the BOLAM and ECMWF IFS surface wind and atmospheric pressure fields, are compared with observations of tidal elevation measured at the ISPRA “Punta della Salute” tide-gauge, located in the Lagoon of Venice. Results indicate that, for the IOP18, short-term forecasts obtained with BOLAM outperform the ECMWF IFS one, while the opposite seems apparently true for longer-term predictions.},
  Copublication            = {3: 3 It},
  Doi                      = {10.5194/nhessd-2-649-2014},
  Owner                    = {hymexw},
  Timestamp                = {2015.07.15},
  Url                      = {http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci-discuss.net/2/649/2014/nhessd-2-649-2014.pdf}
}